ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᓂᖅ: ᐹᓐᑦ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖓ
$140 ᐊᖏᔪᓄᑦ, $50 ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 13–18, $10 ᓯᕉᒧᑦ: ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ $200, 25 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᔭᐃᒻᔅ ᐹᓐᑦ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖓ ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ.
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ, 20 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ, ᔭᐃᒻᔅ ᐹᓐᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᑐᑦ ᓂᐅᕕᐊᒃᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ. ᖁᓕᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓪᓗ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ $80, ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑐᑭᓪᓕᕐᓃᑦ $100, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ $160, ᓯᑕᒪᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ $200 1–12-ᒥ. ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$620, $40-ᒥᑦ ᐊᖏᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᓚᐅᙱᓪᓗᓂ. ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᒃ ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᐃᓚᓕᒃ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᐸᑦ, $200 ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᑦ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ
ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ: $140 19–36-ᒧᑦ, $50 ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᓂ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᓂ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 5:1. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓯᓴᓐ (sixain).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 13–18, $10 ᓯᕉᒧᑦᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →. ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᕗᐊᐃᕝ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᔪᑦ. ᐊᖏᔪᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ $140 ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ $60-ᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ: +$80. ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ $250 ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ $150-ᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ: +$100. ᓯᕉ $350 ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ $190-ᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ: +$160. 1–12-ᒥ ᓇᓕᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ: −$200. ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖅᓴᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᓐᓂᖓ. ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ −1/37 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, $200-ᐅᑉ 2.70%-ᖓ. ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓄᕌᒃᓴᓕᒃ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᖏᔪᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᒃ: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. ᖁᓕᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ +$340, ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᒃ ᐊᑐᓂ $200 ᐊᓯᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᒃ. 6-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᓯᕉ $160 ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᓯᕉ ᐱᓗᐊᖅᑕᐅᑦᑎᐊᕐᓂᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᓂ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᓂᒃ +$280-ᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᒃ; ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᒃ +$620-ᒥ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᔪᑦ. ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ: 12 ᐊᖏᔪᑦ, 3 ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑐᑭᓪᓕᕐᓃᑦ, 1 ᓯᕉ, 4 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ −$108; ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ +$620, ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ 1.2 ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖏᓐᓂᒃᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓯᑭᐊᖅᑐᓂᖓ (√); ᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐅᖓᓯᑦᑎᒋᓂᖓ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᖁᓛᓃᑦᑐᖅ, ᐱᐅᔪᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ.
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᖏᑦ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ $4,000 ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $108. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓ $135 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓ $605 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ; +$620 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᐅᓂᖅᓴᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᓂ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ. ᑕᒪᒃᑯᐊ ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ $200 ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖃᕐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᑦ ᓯᐊᓪᓕᓂᖅᓴᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ (σ ≈ $200 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ): ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒻᒥᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᖏᔪᑦ/ᒥᑭᔪᑦ. 18 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᑕ ᐊᕙᓗᐊᓂ ᖃᓄᖅ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᐊᖏᔪᖅ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᔪᒐᒐᔪᓐᓂᖅᓴᐅᒻᒪᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᓂᒡᓗ.
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔭᖓ
ᐹᓐᑦ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᑎᑦᓯᓂᖓ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ, ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖏᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑕ −1/37-ᖓ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᑐᒐᔪᒃᑐᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᓪᓗᒋᑦ. ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ ᐱᐅᓯᖓ ᐃᓚᓕᓐᓂᖓ: 67.6% ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᒥᒃ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. 32.4% ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᑦ ᐊᑐᓂ $200 ᐊᓯᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ, ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖅᓴᒥᓗ ᓈᓴᐃᓂᐅᑉ ᐅᖃᐅᓯᖓᑎᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᑦ. ᐊᑎᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᓪᓗᒍ, ᕗᓕᒥᖕ (Ian Fleming) ᐅᓂᒃᑳᖏᓐᓂ ᐃᓚᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ: ᐹᓐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑕᓴᓐ1–12, 13–24 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 25–36, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 2:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑐᖅ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᒐᕋᓛᑦ ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐱᓚᐅᖅᑐᑦ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐊᖏᔪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ ᓯᕉ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᐸᑦ $70 ᐅᓐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᑦ $140-ᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᓯᕉᓗ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$230, +$160-ᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ 1.8% ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ. ᐱᐅᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ, ᓱᓕᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐅᓪᓗᓂ.
ᐊᕕᒃᑐᖅᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓐᓂᖅᓴᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ: $80, $100, $160. ᐊᕕᒃᑐᖅᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᖃᓄᐃᑦᑑᒐᓗᐊᖅᐸᑕ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ.
ᐄ. $200 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᑎᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓄᑦ 25 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ. ᐊᖏᓂᖓ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᓪᓗ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᙱᑦᑐᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᖏᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ. ᐱᖓᓱᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.