ᐸᕈᓕ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ (ᐅᑎᖅᑕᖅ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ)
ᐸᕈᓕ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᑭᖑᐊᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᔪᖅ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐅᑉ ᑭᖑᐊᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᑭᖑᐊᓂ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑭᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᔪᖅᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᑎᑭᓐᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᐸᕈᓕ ᐊᒡᒍᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᒋᐊᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᖓᓂᒃ ᓇᖕᒥᓂᖅ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᒡᓗ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᒪᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᒪᓕᓪᓗᒍ
ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᕗᒧᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ, ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᖓᔪᐊ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ, ᐱᒋᐊᕐᕕᖓᓄᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖏᓪᓗ ᐱᒋᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖏᓐᓂ.
ᐸᕈᓕ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᑎᕙ?
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᐊᔪᒐᒃᐸᑦ, ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐃᓕᑕᐃᓐᓇᕐᓗᒋᑦ: ᑐᓪᓕᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ. ᐊᔪᒐᑲᓐᓂᒃᐸᑦ, ᓯᑕᒪᑦ. ᐱᖓᔪᐊᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᒃᐸᑦ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐱᓗᒋᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᓪᓗ ᐅᑎᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᖃᖓᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᒃᐸᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦ. ᑕᐃᒪ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂᒃ. ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑭᖑᐊᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑎᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇᐃᑦᑐᖅ ᓇᖕᒥᓂᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᔅᓯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐃᓱᒪᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᒡᒍᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᐹᖑᔪᑦ. ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → (18/37)³ = 11.5%, ᐊᒡᒍᓰᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂ.
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᖓᕙ?
ᓱᒃᑲᐃᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ, ᐃᓛᓐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᖁᕝᕙᓯᒃᑲᓪᓚᒃᑐᖅ. ᐃᓱᒪᒋᓗᒍ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᒥᑭᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᓂᐅᕕᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ: ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᑦ, ᐊᒥᓲᖏᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ. 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ (30% ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂ) ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᖏᑦ ᐊᒡᒍᓯᓂᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᒻᒪᑕ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᒋᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓂᒃ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᒃᐸᑦ, ᐊᒥᓱᓂᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$300
- p75 +$30
- p90 +$320
ᐸᕈᓕ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᑎᕙ?
ᐊᐅᓚᑦᑎᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᐊᖏᑎᒋᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ. p = 18/37-ᖑᓗᓂ. 7 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ p³ = 0.115; 1 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ 1 − p³ = 0.885. ᐊᒡᒍᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓂᖓ: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ. ᐊᒡᒍᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᑦ: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. ᐊᕕᓪᓗᒍ: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᑕᒪᑐᒥᖓ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᑐᓂᓯᔪᖅ ᐊᕕᒃᐸᑦ.
ᐃᓱᒪᓂᖅ ᐱᔪᒪᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐅᓇᐅᔪᖅ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐃᓕᑕᐃᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᓯᑉᐳᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᓯᑉᓇᓗᓇᐃᒃᑯᑎ ᐊᑭᖃᐃᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖓ: ᓯᐊᒃ (check).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇᐃᑦᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᒃᐸᑕ ᐊᑭᖃᙱᑦᑐᑦ. ᐃᓕᑦᑎᓐᓂ ᐱᖃᑦᑕᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᓚᐅᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᒃᐸᑕ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ 2.70%-ᒥᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ.
ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᑕᑯᓂᐊᖅᑐᒋᑦ ᐅᑕᖅᑭᒃᐸᑦ?
ᐸᕈᓕᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐸᕈᓕᐱᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ: ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑭᖑᓂᖓᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑭᖑᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᑭᖑᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑭᓪᓗᒍ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖓ: ᐅᑎᖅᑕᖅ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓄᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ 16-ᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᖅ 15, ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. ᑕᐃᓚ (Taylor) (2021) ᐊᐱᕆᔪᖅ ᐱᑦᔪᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ: ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓂᒃ ᐊᒥᓲᙱᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᑕᒪᑐᒥᖓ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᓂᐊᕐᓂᖓᓄᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ ᖃᓄᐃᑦᑑᕙ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᐲᖅᓯᒪᓚᐅᖅᑎᓐᓇᒋᑦ? ᐊᒡᒍᓯᖅ ᐊᔪᕐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇᐃᑦᑐᖅ 15 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᑐᕐᓗᒋᑦ ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ 1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%, ᐱᐅᓂᖅᓴᖅ 48.6%-ᒥᑦ, ᑕᒪᐃᑦ 15 ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓕᔭᐅᒃᐸᑕ. ᐱᑦᔪᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑐᖅ. ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᒥᓱᓂᒃ ᐊᔪᕐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᒡᒍᓯᓂᒃ ᑭᖑᐊᓂ ᑎᑭᒐᔪᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇᐃᑦᑐᖅ ᑎᑭᒃᐸᑕ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 9 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ, 15-ᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐊᒻᒪ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅᒪᓕᒐᖅ ᓇᓕᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᓂᒍᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᓐᓂᖏᑦ ᒪᓕᒡᓗᒋᑦ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐃᔪᖅ. ᐊᑲᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑭᖑᓂᖓᓂ ᖁᕝᕙᑦᑎᔪᑦ, ᐱᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑭᖑᓂᖓᓂ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐊᒥᓱᓂᖅᓴᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᒪᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓂᖓ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥᑦ ᐱᐅᙱᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ.
ᓇᓂ ᓄᖅᑲᕐᓂᖅ ᐱᒻᒪᕆᐅᕙ?
ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ. ᐸᕈᓕ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓄᑦ (3 ᐱᓗᒋᑦ) ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓄᑦ (15 ᐱᓗᒋᑦ) ᖃᓄᑎᒋ ᐊᒥᓱᐊᕐᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖓᓂᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ. “ᐸᓚᐃ” (Parlay) ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ (35, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐃᓕᑕᐃᓐᓇᕐᓗᒍ) ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ p = 1/37 ᐊᒻᒪ 1,295, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᒻᒪᖔᑦ, “X 1-ᒧᑦ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓚᓇᒍ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒪᕐᕉᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇᐃᑦᑐᖅ ᐊᒥᓱᐊᕐᓗᒍ ᐅᓂᒃᑳᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᑭᓇᑦ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᖅᐸᑦ, ᓱᒻᒪᓪᓗ?
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐊᒡᒍᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᒪᔪᒥᒃ ᒥᑭᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᖏᓛᒥᒃ ᐱᔪᒪᔪᑦ, ᐊᒻᒪ ᓱᒃᑲᐃᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᖁᕕᐊᓱᒃᑐᑦ ᐊᖏᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ ᐱᓪᓗᒍ. ᐃᓱᒪᒃᑯᑦ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᑐᖅ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᖓᓂ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᕐᓂᖓ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᙱᓐᓂᖓᓗ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐅᑎᖅᑕᖓ: ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᑉᐱᒍᓱᒃᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᙱᑦᑎᓐᓂ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᑎᑭᓚᐅᖅᑎᓐᓇᒍ; ᐸᕈᓕ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᑉᐱᒍᓱᒃᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᙱᑦᑎᓐᓂ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᑎᑭᓚᐅᖅᑎᓐᓇᒍ. ᑳᓯᓄ 2.70%-ᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᐊᔪᒐᐅᑎᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᖃᑦᑕᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᐃᓚᓗᒋᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᕼᐋᓐᑐᓪ, ᐋᒃᓴᓐ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᔪᖅ ᖃᓄᐃᑦᑐᒃᑯᑦ.
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᑎ · ᐸᕈᓕ
2,000 ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᒃ, $1,000 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᑦ ᐱᒋᐊᕐᓗᓂ.
ᐱᒋᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $10 · ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᑭᒡᓕᖓ $500 · 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐅᓗᕆᐊᓇᙱᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᓚᑦᑐᓐᓂᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᓴᓇᔪᓐᓇᙱᒻᒪᑦ. ᐊᑭᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ: ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᐳᖅ.
ᓄᖅᑲᕐᕕᒃ ᑭᓱᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᓈᓴᐃᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ. ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ (7 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦ) ᐅᑕᖅᑭᓇᓱᐊᕈᓐᓇᕐᒪᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓᓗ (11.5%) ᓂᕆᐅᓇᐃᙱᒻᒪᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐃᓕᑕᐃᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᐅᓪᓗᐊᕐᒥᔪᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- RouletteDoc. Roulette strategies overview.
- Roulette77. Strategy description and examples.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed.