ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᕉᓚᑦ
ᑐᕐᑎᓯᕙᓐ ᐃᓂᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 2.70%. ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᔭᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ.
ᐃᐅᕌᐸᒥ, ᐋᓯᐊᒥ, ᐊᔅᑐᕋᐃᓕᐊᒥ ᐃᓂᑦᑎᐊᕐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᓛᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ. ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑏᑦ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ 36/n − 1 ᒪᓕᒃᑐᑦ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐱᓯᒪᓂᖅᓴᖅᑕᖓ: ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 2.70% ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᒫᓂ.
ᓇᓂ ᓇᓃᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᒐᔪᖕᒪᖔᑦ
ᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐅᕐᕕᐅᓕᒫᓂ RNG ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖏᓐᓂᓗ ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᓄᓇᖓᑕ ᓯᓚᑖᓂ, ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲᒥᓗ ᐊᒥᓲᓕᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ. ᐃᓂᑦᑎᐊᕐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ “ᕉᓚᑦ” ᑕᐃᔭᐅᓐᓇᖅᐸᑦ, ᑕᓐᓇᐅᒐᔪᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ. ᐃᐅᕌᐸᒥ, ᐋᓯᐊᒥ ᐊᔅᑐᕋᐃᓕᐊᒥᓗ ᑳᓯᓄᑦ ᑖᓐᓇ ᐊᑐᒐᔪᒃᑕᖏᑦ, ᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐃᓚᓕᒐᔪᒃᑐᑦ.
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᐸ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉᓕᒃ ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 35:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 1/37 ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᒃᑐᖅ 35-ᒥᓪᓗ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ: EV = 35/37 − 36/37 = −1/37 = −2.70%. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓯᖏᑦ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᒻᒪᖔᑦ, “X 1-ᒧᑦ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓚᓇᒍ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ 36/n − 1 ᐅᒻᒪᑦ ᐃᓂᑦᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐃᓂᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᒥ 37 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓕᑦ ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐃᓂᒋᐊᖅ, ᖃᓪᓗᐊᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 37 ᒪᓕᒡᓗᒋᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᑐᓪᓕᐅᑎᖏᑦ ᑖᒃᑯᐊ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᐃᑭᐊᖅᑭᕐᕕᖕᒥ ᑖᓐᓇᓂ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ: 0 32 15 19 4 21 2 25 17 34 6 27 13 36 11 30 8 23 10 5 24 16 33 1 20 14 31 9 22 18 29 7 28 12 35 3 26.
ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᔭᐅᓪᓗᓂ
ᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓂ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑎᑦᑎᔪᑦ. ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ ᐃᓂᒥᒃ ᐃᓚᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᑎᓐᓇᓂᖅᓱᓪᓗᓂᓗ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂ ᓇᓪᓕᐊᓂᓗᑦᑕᐅᖅ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑐᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂᒃ ᑐᑭᓯᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ ᓇᓂᓕᒫᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑐᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐅᖃᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ
ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓄᑦᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᑦ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᓂᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑐᖃᐃᑦ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑎᑦᑎᔪᖅ (ᕗᐊᓴᓐ, ᑎᐊᕐ, ᐅᕐᕙᓚᓐFR · ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐅᕐᕙᓚᓐ“ᐃᕐᓂᐊᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᓈᓇᖃᙱᑦᑐᑦ”: ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᕗᐊᓴᓐᒧᑦ ᑎᐊᕐᒧᓪᓗ ᐃᓚᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ: 17, 34, 6 ᐊᒻᒪᓗ 1, 20, 14, 31, 9.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᑦᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᓗ ᓴᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᐃᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ, ᑕᓪᓕᒪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᓯᑉᐳᖏᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →), ᑐᓪᓕᐅᑎᖓᑕ ᑐᑭᓕᐅᖅᓯᒪᒻᒪᒋᑦ. ᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐃᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᖓᓂᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᖓᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᓂ ᖃᕆᑕᐅᔭᒃᑯᓪᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕖᓐᓂ ᐊᒃᑲᐅᒐᓗᐊᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᓄᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓇᓪᓕᒃᑯᑎᒥᒃ ᐃᓕᔾᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑕᑯᑎᑦᑎᔪᑦ; RNG ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐃᑦ “ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ” ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑯᑎᖃᕐᒐᔪᒃᑐᑦ. ᑖᒃᑯᐊ 2.70% ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ.
ᑕᐃᒎᓯᖏᑦ ᐱᓗᐊᖅᑐᒥᒃ
ᐃᓂᑦᑎᐊᕐᓂᒃᑯᑦ “ᐃᐅᕌᐸ” ᐃᓛᓐᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᖑᐊᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᐸᒃᑐᖅ, ᒪᓕᒐᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐱᓐᖏᓪᓗᓂ. ᐃᓂᑦ ᓈᓴᕐᓗᒋᑦ ᑐᓴᒐᒃᓴᓂ, ᖃᐅᔨᓗᒍᓗ ᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᒪᓕᒐᖅᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖓ: ᓯᕉ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ ᕿᑎᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᑕᐃᒃᑯᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᒋᐊᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, 1.35%-ᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᒻᒪᖔᑦ. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉᓕᒃᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ ᑕᐃᓐᓇᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᖅ ᑖᓐᓇ; ᑕᐃᓐᓇᓕᒃ ᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᖓ, 1.35% ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓂ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᑦ ᐱᐅᓛᖅ. ᕖᓇᓯ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ, ᒪᓕᒐᖏᑦ ᐱᐅᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᖏᔪᑦ/ᒥᑭᔪᑦ. 18 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →.
ᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᓛᓂ, ᐄ. RNG ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐃᑦ ᐃᓚᖏᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᔭᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 2.70%.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.