ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ / ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ
ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᒧᑦ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖁᓕᓄᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓄᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ. ᓯᕉ ᑭᓇᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1, ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 48.65%. ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓᑕ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓕᔭᐅᕝᕕᖓ
“ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ” “ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ”-ᓗ ᐃᓂᖏᒃ ᓯᓚᑖᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᑎᒌᒃᑐᓂ, ᑕᓴᓐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑕᓴᓐ1–12, 13–24 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 25–36, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 2:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑕᕐᕋᓕᓪᓗ ᑕᐃᐊᒪᓐᑦ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖏᓐᓂ; ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐸᕐ ᐊᓐᐸᕐᓗ (pair, impair). ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᒥᑭᓛᖓᓂᒃ ᑎᑭᐅᑎᖃᖁᔨᔭᐅᔪᒃ.
ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᓯᕉ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᐅᕙ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᐅᕙ?
ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒥ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ (ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ), ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᕉᓚᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓄᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎᒥᒃ ᐋᖅᑭᒃᓯᔪᖅ ᓯᕉᒥᒃ ᑭᓇᒥᓗ ᐃᓂᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᙱᓐᓇᒥ. ᐱᒋᐊᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐃᓛᓐᓂ ᐊᐃᑉᐱᕆᖃᑦᑕᖅᑐᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔩᑦ ᑐᓴᖅᓯᒪᓕᖅᑐᑦ.
ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᕐᓗ
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᑦ: 18 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, 1, 1-ᒧᑦ, 48.65%. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᖕᓇᐅᔪᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᖁᓕᓂᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓂᒡᓗ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᕐᓂᖏᑎᒍᑦ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᑲᑎᑦᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ “ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᕐᓗ”-ᑎᑐᑦ 28 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖃᖅᓗᑎᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᓐᓂ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᐅᓪᓗᑎᒡᓗ (12, 14, 16, 18, 30, 32, 34, 36). ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕈᑎ ᑕᒪᒃᑯᓂᖓ ᐊᑐᖅᑎᒌᓐᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐃᔪᖅ.
ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓪᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᑕᕐᕋᖏᑦ
ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓪᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓪᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ. ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᓪᓗ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →: ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 19, 21, 23, 25 27-ᓗ; ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦ 11, 13, 15, 17, 29, 31, 33 35-ᓗ. ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᓯᐊᒍᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔪᑦ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ ᖁᓕᓪᓗ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦ. ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᕐᓗ 26 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᒃ, ᖁᓕᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ, ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᕐᓗ 28 ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ.
ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ: ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᕐᓗ
18 37-ᓂᑦ ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ 1.056, 1-ᒧᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ 1-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ. 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ $10-ᒥ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ (+$180), ᖁᓕᓄᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓄᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ (−$180) ᓯᕉᒧᓪᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᓂ (−$10): −$10 $370 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᓂᑦ, 2.70%. ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᒃ ᓯᕉᓕᒻᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᓯᕉᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑎᑦᓯᔪᒃ, ᐊᑭᖓᓗ $20 $380-ᓂᑦ, 5.26%.
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ
ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓪᓗ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᓯᓈᖓᓂ ᐊᒃᑐᐊᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᑭᓇᒥᒃ ᐱᐅᓯᓂᖅᓴᐅᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᑐᓪᓕᖅᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᖕᓇᐃᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᐋᖅᑭᒃᓯᒪᔪᑦ: ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᔪᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᒃ ᑐᓪᓕᖃᖅᑐᒃ. ᓯᓚᑖᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᓚᑖᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖓᑕ ᐊᕙᓗᐊᓂ ᓯᑕᒪᐅᓕᐊᓄᑦ: ᑕᓴᓐᑦ, ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒡᓗ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓖᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑎᑐᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᑦ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᓂᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓗᓕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖏᑦ
ᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᒪᓕᒐᖅᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖓ: ᓯᕉ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ ᕿᑎᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᑕᐃᒃᑯᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᒋᐊᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, 1.35%-ᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᑐᖅᐸᑦ, ᓯᕉ ᓴᖅᑭᑉᐸᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉ ᓇᑉᐸᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, ᐊᑭᖓᓗ 1.35%-ᒧᑦ ᒥᑭᓪᓕᓪᓗᓂ. ᐊᓐ ᐳᕆᓴᓐᒪᓕᒐᖅᐊᓐ ᐳᕆᓴᓐᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖓ: ᓯᕉ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑕᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᑎᒍᒥᐊᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᑕᐃᒃᑯᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᒋᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᑐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ: ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖃᙱᓪᓗᓂ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑉᐸᑦ ᐱᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓐᓇᖅ. ᓯᕉ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᐅᓂᖓ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᒪᓕᒐᖅ ᐸᕐ ᐊᓐᐸᕐᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒃᑯᑦ ᐊᑐᒐᒋᑦ.
ᐅᓐᓄᒃᑯᑦ ᐆᒃᑑᑎ
$5 ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᒧᑦ 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓂ $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $500 ÷ 37 = $13.51. ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᔪᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖓ ᑕᐃᑦᓱᒪ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂ $50 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓯᑭᐊᖅᑐᓂᖓ (√); ᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐅᖓᓯᑦᑎᒋᓂᖓ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 100 ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂᒃᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᖏᔪᑦ/ᒥᑭᔪᑦ. 18 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $5-ᓂᒃ 5 × √100 ᐅᒻᒪᑦ. ᐅᓐᓄᐊᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓐᓂᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ $64 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒥᑦ $36 ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐄ. ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ, ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂᓗ ᓯᕉ ᓴᖅᑭᑉᐸᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐃᓚᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑦᑎᒃ ᐊᑐᖃᑦᑕᖅᑐᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᓇᓱᒃᓗᑎᒃ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᖓ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖓ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᒪᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᖅ
ᓯᕗᓪᓕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐃᓕᖕᓂᒃ ᐆᒃᑐᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖏᑦ ᒪᑐᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ; ᐅᐸᒍᓐᓇᕈᕕᑦ ᒪᑐᐃᖅᓯᓗᒍ.
ᐱᓪᓚᑦᑕᐃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᐃᑦᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓚᖓᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᖃᖅᐸᓚᐅᖅᑐᑦ “ᒥᑭᔪᖅ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓗ” ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃᑯᑦ. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᒥᑭᑉᐸᑦ (1-ᒥᑦ 18-ᒧᑦ) ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᐸᓪᓗ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑉᐸᑦ, ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, ᐃᓂᒥᓂᓗ ᐃᓂᖃᐃᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᓱᓕᑉᐸᑦ. ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᓚᐅᖅᐸ?
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ 2.70% ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ 5.26% ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑕᐅᔪᒥ.
ᐃᓂᑦᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐃᓂᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᒥ 37 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓕᑦ ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐃᓂᒋᐊᖅ, ᖃᓪᓗᐊᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓈᓴᕐᓗᒋᑦ. ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓪᓗ: 2, 4 … 18, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᑦ. ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓪᓗ: 19, 21 … 35, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᓯᕉᓗ, ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᖁᓕᑦ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᑦ. ᐊᓯᖏᑦ ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒡᓗ, ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓪᓗ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓪᓗ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐃᓂᒥᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᐃᓐᓇᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 37 ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂ 9-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ 10-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ: −1/37, ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᓂᖅᐹᖅ 2.70%. ᑭᓯᐊᓂ 37 ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂ 18 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᓐᓂ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑐᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᔪᑦ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᓈᓴᖅᑕᐅᑉᐸᑕ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 19 ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂ 1 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ, 5.26%, ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᑭᖓ.
ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ, 00 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᓂ ᐃᓚᐅᓪᓗᓂ, 5.26% ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ 10%-ᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑕᐅᔪᒥ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ. ᐳᓪᒪᓐ (Bollman, 2024) ᑐᓴᕐᓂᓴᖅᑐᑎᑐᑦ ᑐᓂᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᓯᕉ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ. ᓯᕉ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.