ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ
ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᑉᒥᒃ ᐃᓕᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᕐᒧᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓄᑦ.
ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ 37-ᓂᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 17:1. ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 5.41%, ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐱᓯᒪᓂᖅᓴᖅᑕᖓ: ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 2.70%.
ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᓱᓇᐅᕙ?
ᓯᑉᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᓯᑉᓇᓗᓇᐃᒃᑯᑎ ᐊᑭᖃᐃᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖓ: ᓯᐊᒃ (check).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᑐᖅᑎᒌᒃᑕᖓᓐᓂ ᓯᓈᓐᓂ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᕙᒃᑐᖅ. ᓴᓂᒧᐊᖅᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 17:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᑐᓪᓕᑎᒌᒃᑐᓂ ᐃᓚᒋᕙᖕᒥᒍᒃ (17-18); ᓈᑉᐸᖅᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᒥᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᖅᖁᓕᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒡᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᐅᑉ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᖓᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 2:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓚᒋᕙᖕᒥᒍᒃ (17-20). ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 1-ᒥᒃ, 2-ᒥᒃ 3-ᒥᒡᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᖃᕈᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑖᓂ ᓯᓈᒎᖅᓗᓂ. 3×12 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖓᓂ 57 ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ, ᐊᒻᒪ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᓯᕉᒥᒃ ᐃᓚᓕᒃ, ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 60. ᓯᑉ ᓯᓈᒥ ᐃᓂᖃᙱᓪᓗᓂ ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᖕᓂᖃᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓂᖓᓄᑦ ᐊᒃᑐᐃᑉᐸᑦ, ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᓕᖅᑐᖅ; ᑕᐃᒪ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᑉ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᐃᓕᓗᒍ.
ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᖃᓄᐃᓪᓗᐊᑦᑎᐊᖅ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᕙ?
ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ 37-ᓂᑦ ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ 17.5, 1-ᒧᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ 17-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ. $10 ᓯᑉᒥ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ $170 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓗ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᑎᑦ (+$340) 35-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᑎᑦ (−$350), ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ −$10 $370 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᓯᒪᔭᕐᓂᒃ: 2.70%.
ᐱᐅᓯᖓ
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 35:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖓᑕᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᑕ ᐊᕙᓗᐊᓂ ᖃᓄᖅ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᐊᖏᔪᖅ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓇᑉᐸᖓ, ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ. ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑑᑎᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᓄᑦ ᐃᓗᐊᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥᒃ ᐱᒍᒪᔪᓄᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖏᓐᓂ 36 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖃᙱᓪᓗᑎᒃ. ᐊᒻᒪᓗ ᑎᐊᕐ ᑐ ᓯᓕᓐᑐᕐFR · ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑎᐊᕐ ᑐ ᓯᓕᓐᑐᕐ“ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐱᖓᓱᓂ ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ”: ᖁᓕᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒡᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᓯᕉᐅᑉ ᐊᑉᐱᖓᓃᑦᑐᑦ, ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ 27-ᒥᑦ 33-ᒧᑦ, ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐅᖃᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃᐅᖃᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔨᒧᑦ ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᒡᒐᒥᒃ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᓐᖏᓪᓗᓂ, ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᕗᐊᓴᓐ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᑎᐊᕐ ᐊᔾᔨᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖓ: “ᐅᖃᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ”.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓴᓇᓯᒪᐅᑎᖓ: ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ, ᖁᓕᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓪᓗ ᐃᓂᑦᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐃᓂᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᒥ 37 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓕᑦ ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐃᓂᒋᐊᖅ, ᖃᓪᓗᐊᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐱᖓᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑐᖅᓯᒪᓂᖓᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ.
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᑦᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᓗ ᓴᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᐃᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ, ᑕᓪᓕᒪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᓯᑉᐳᖏᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ. 17-18 ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐊᑭᐊᓃᑦᑐᓂ ᓯᓈᖏᓐᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᒃ (17 25-ᑉ 34-ᓪᓗ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓃᑦᑐᖅ; 18 22-ᑉ 29-ᓪᓗ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓃᑦᑐᖅ). ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐃᓂᓐᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐊᒃᑐᐊᑎᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᖃᓂᓪᓕᓛᖅ 0-3, ᐃᓂᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔪᒃ 26 ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓃᑦᑐᖅ. ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᖃᖅᑐᖅ: 0 28-ᑉ 2-ᓪᓗ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓃᑦᑐᖅ, 0-2-ᓗ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂ. ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ.
ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ
ᐋ ᓯᕙᓪFR · ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦᓯᕙᓪᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᑉ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓂ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᕐᒥ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 17:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → (À cheval), “ᕼᐋᓯᒥ ᐃᑯᕕᓴᖅᓗᓂ”: ᓯᑉ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᕐᒥ ᐃᑯᕕᓴᖅᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ. ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔩᑦ “ᓯᕙᓪ ᑐᓯ-ᑳᓐᔅ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᑉ ᐱᔭᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑎᑕᕙᖕᒥᔭᖏᑦ ᐃᓕᔪᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᐃᓕᑉᓄᑦ. ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᖓᓂᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᖓᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᓂ ᖃᕆᑕᐅᔭᒃᑯᓪᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕖᓐᓂ ᐊᒃᑲᐅᒐᓗᐊᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᓄᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓇᓪᓕᒃᑯᑎᒥᒃ ᐃᓕᔾᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑎᐊᕐ ᓇᕿᑦᑕᐅᑎ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᓯᕙᓪᓂᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃᑯᑦ ᐃᓕᔨᔪᖅ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ, ᑕᐃᑲᓂ 17, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ, ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ 5.26% ᐊᓯᖏᑎᑐᑦ ᑕᐃᑲᓃᑦᑐᑦ.
$10 ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $5 ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᒡᓗ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᓐᓄᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᓪᓗᐊᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᑦ: ᐃᓗᓕᖏᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᒻᒪᖔᑦ, “X 1-ᒧᑦ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓚᓇᒍ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ.
√(p·17² + (1−p) − EV²), p = 2/37. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᖅ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ.
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᖅ
ᓯᕗᓪᓕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐃᓕᖕᓂᒃ ᐆᒃᑐᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖏᑦ ᒪᑐᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ; ᐅᐸᒍᓐᓇᕈᕕᑦ ᒪᑐᐃᖅᓯᓗᒍ.
ᓇᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ, ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ, ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 17:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓇᓕᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᒪᕐᕉᓂᒃ ᐃᓂᓂᒃᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐃᓂᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᒥ 37 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓕᑦ ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐃᓂᒋᐊᖅ, ᖃᓪᓗᐊᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᖃᓂᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐅᓪᓗᕆᐊᖅᓯᕙ?
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐊᓗᒃ: 0-2.
ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 32 ᐊᒻᒪ 26 ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒻᒥᓗᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᖏᑦ 0-1, 0-2 ᐊᒻᒪ 0-3. ᐊᓯᖏᑦ 57 ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᓂᒃᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᑦᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᓗ ᓴᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᐃᓂᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ, ᑕᓪᓕᒪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᓯᑉᐳᖏᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒪᕐᕉᓂᒃ ᑲᑎᖅᓱᐃᙱᑦᑐᑦ: ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᐅᑉ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᖏᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐋᖅᑭᒃᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒻᒥ ᖃᓂᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᓂᒃ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᓂᐊᕐᓗᑎᒃ.
ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᓯᕉ 28 ᐊᒻᒪ 2 ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ, 0-2-ᓗ ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ. ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓯᕉᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᖅᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓯᕉᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᑕ 00 ᐃᓂᖓ. ᐱᑕᖃᕐᓂᖓ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᖁᕝᕙᓯᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ 2.70%-ᒥᑦ 5.26%-ᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 1 ᐊᒻᒪ 27 ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᒪᕐᕉᓄᓕ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᖏᑦ 00-2, 00-3 ᐊᒻᒪ 0-00.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᑐᑭᓕᐊᑉ ᕿᑎᐊᓂ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔨᐅᑉ ᑕᑯᓯᒪᔭᖓ ᑭᖑᓪᓕᖅᐹᖑᔪᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.