ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᑕ ᓴᖑᓯᒪᓂᖓ
ᓴᖑᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓ ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐃᓂᓂᒃ ᐱᐅᒋᓂᖅᓴᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᒃᓱᕈᕐᓇᖅᑐᒥᒃ ᓱᕋᒃᓯᒪᓂᖓᓄᑦ: ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᐅᑎᖓ ᓯᖁᒥᑦᑐᖅ, ᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᖅ ᓈᒻᒪᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐃᓂᑦ ᐊᑐᓗᐊᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ. ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᑕ ᓴᖑᓯᒪᓂᖓ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᓪᓗᓂᓗ. ᐊᒃᓱᕈᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᓈᒻᒪᑦᑎᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅ “ᐆᓇᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂᒃ” ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑎᐃᓐᓇᕐᒪᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐆᓇᕐᒪᖔᑦ ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓᓕ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖓ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᖅᑎᑦᑕᖓᓂᑦ ᐊᖏᓂᖅᓴᐅᒻᒪᖔᑦ.
1. ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᒥᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᑦ ᑕᑯᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥᑦ ᓴᖑᓯᒪᙱᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᒥᑦ. ᑕᑯᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᓗᒋᑦ ᐆᓇᓛᖅ ᐃᓂ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ.
2. ᑕᑯᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᓪᓗ
ᓇᑉᐸᐅᑎ ᑕᒪᑐᒧᖓ ᐃᓂᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂ. ᓄᖅᑲᖃᑦᑕᖅᑐᖅ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᖅ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᐅᓄᓐᓂᖏᑦ, n/37. ᑕᕐᕋᓕᒃ ᐃᓚᖓ ±2 ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖏᑦ: ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐊᑕᖃᓂᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᖁᓖᓐᓄᑦ ᓯᓚᑖᓄᑦ ᐊᓂᒍᐃᕙᑦᑐᖅ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᑐᐊᒃᑯᑦ.
3. ᑲᐃ-ᔅᑯᐃᐅ ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕈᑎ
ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕈᑎ ᑲᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ ᐃᓂ ᑕᒪᑐᒧᖓ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐅᖓᓯᒃᑎᒋᒻᒪᖔᑦ, ᐃᒻᒥᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒧᓪᓗ ᐊᑦᔨᒋᔭᐅᓪᓗᓂ. ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᑲᐃ-ᔅᑯᐃᐅ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᒪᓕᒃᑐᖅ 36 ᐃᒻᒥᓂᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖏᓐᓂ; p ᐊᑭᖓ 0.05-ᒥᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᒍᓂ ᐊᑐᒐᔪᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᓈᓴᐃᓂᒃᑯᑦ ᐱᒻᒪᕆᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᑕᐃᔭᐅᕙᑦᑐᖅ.
n = 370 · E = 10.00 · χ² = 32.80 · p = 0.622
4. ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᕐᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑎᑦ
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᐃᓂᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ 1/37-ᒥᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᓴᐃᑦ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᖃᐅᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ, ᓴᓂᓕᐊᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ 5% ᑭᒡᓕᖓᓂ 80% ᓴᙱᓂᖓᓂᓗ. ᐃᓂ 1-ᒥᒃ 35-ᓂ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑐᖅ, 1-ᒥᒃ 37-ᓂ ᐱᓐᖏᓪᓗᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᒧᑦ ᐱᐅᓂᖅᓴᐅᓂᐅᓪᓚᕆᓐᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ, ᓱᓕᔪᒥᒃ ᑕᑯᑦᑎᑦᓯᓂᕐᒧᓪᓗ ᖁᓕᓪᓗᐊᑦ ᑕᐅᓴᓐᓂᒃ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᓂᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ.
ᖃᓄᖅ ᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅ
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅᑕᒫᑦ ᐆᓇᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂᒃ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑎᕙᒃᑐᖅ. ᓴᖑᓯᒪᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᓱᓕᔪᒥᒃ ᑕᑯᑦᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᖁᓕᓪᓗᐊᑦ ᑕᐅᓴᓐᓂᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Pearson, K. (1900). On the criterion that a given system of deviations… Philosophical Magazine, 50(302).
- Thorp, E. O. (1969). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. Review of the International Statistical Institute, 37(3).
- Ethier, S. N. (2010). The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer. Ch. 13, Roulette.