ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ
ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑏᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᓪᓗ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᒋᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᖁᓕᓂᑦ ᑕᓪᓕᒪᓂᓪᓗ ᓂᕈᐊᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ. ᑭᐅᓗᑎᑦ, ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᑕᑯᓗᒋᑦ, ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎᓪᓗ ᑕᒻᒪᖅᑕᑎᑦ ᐊᑐᓂ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᔪᖅ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᖅ ᐱᓗᒍ.
ᖃᐅᔨᒪᔭᑎᑦ ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕐᓗᒋᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᓚᐅᙱᓐᓂᕐᓂ. ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᓂᕈᐊᕐᕕᓕᒃ, ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐃᑕᐅᕙᒃᓗᑎᒃ. 8 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒃᓴᖃᕈᕕᑦ, ᖃᐅᔨᒪᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᑎᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᐅᑎᓂᑦ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᐅᔭᓂᑦ; 5-ᒥᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᒍᕕᑦ, ᐃᓕᓐᓂᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐃᓚᖓ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅᓯᐅᑎᒃᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᐅᔪᖅ.
ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ
10: ᐃᑭᐊᖅᑭᕕᒃ ᑖᓐᓇ ᑎᑎᕋᕈᓐᓇᖅᑕᑎᑦ.
8–9: ᕉᓚᑦ ᑐᑭᓯᓂᖅᓴᐅᔭᑎᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖕᒥ ᐃᓄᖕᓂᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᐹᓂᑦ.
5–7: ᓴᙱᔪᖅ; ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐃᓚᖓ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐃᓚᒋᐊᖅᓯᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ.
5-ᒥᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᖅ: ᐱᒋᐊᕐᓗᑎᑦ ᕉᓚᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᕙᑦᑐᖅ ᕉᓚᑦ: ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑏᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᒻᒪᖔᑦ, “X 1-ᒧᑦ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓚᓇᒍ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →-ᓗ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᖏᓐᓂᒃ, ᑭᖑᓂᐊᒍᑦ ᐅᑎᕐᓗᑎᑦ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᒃ ᑕᒻᒪᕐᕕᒋᔭᐅᒐᔪᓛᒃ: “37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᓪᓗ ᑐᕌᖅᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ” (ᐃᓄᐃᑦ “100%” ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ “50% ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ” ᐅᖃᕐᒪᑕ) ᐊᒻᒪ ᑕᓴᓐᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑕᓴᓐ1–12, 13–24 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 25–36, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 2:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᒋᔭᖏᑦ (ᐃᓄᐃᑦ “ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ” ᐅᖃᕐᒪᑕ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐳᐃᒍᖅᓗᒍ).
ᑐᓪᓕᐊ ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕈᑎ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐱᐅᓯᑐᖃᕐᒧᑦ ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕈᑎ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᒪᑉᐱᒐᕐᒥ ᐸᓯᑲᓪ (Pascal), ᐳᓛᓐ (Blanc), ᔮᒡᒐ (Jagger) 26-ᓪᓗ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᔾᔪᑎᒋᔭᖏᑦ. ᐱᔭᕆᐊᑭᓐᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᖁᕕᐊᓇᕐᓂᖅᓴᐅᓪᓗᓂᓗ, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑎᑦ ᓴᐳᔾᔨᓂᐊᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
37 ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓃᑦ, ᐊᑐᓂ 37-ᓂᑦ 1, ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᕙᒻᒪᑕ. 63.7%-ᖑᔪᖅ, ᓈᓴᐅᑏᓪᓗ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓴᖅᑭᓚᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᑭᖑᓂᐊᒍᑦ.
ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᖕᓂᖃᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᒥᒡᓗ ᓇᓂᓯᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑎ ᐃᓚᒌᒃᑐᒃ: ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓕᒃ, ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᑕᓪᓕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐃᓚᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᖁᓕᑦ ᑕᓪᓕᒪᓪᓗ ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ. ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑏᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖏᑦ 2.70%-ᖑᔪᑦ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.