ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᓂᖅ: ᐊᔅᑲᕐ ᒍᕋᐃᓐᑦ
ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ, ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᓄᖅᑲᖅᑎᓪᓗᒍ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᖅᑎᓪᓗᑕ. ᐅᐊᕐᔪᓛᖅ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ, ᕼᐊᓐᑐᕆᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ.
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᔅᑲᕐ ᒍᕋᐃᓐᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ, 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ, $10 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →. ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ, ᐊᑐᓂ +$10, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ 41 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ, $50 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ $230-ᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᕐᓂᖏᑦ; ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᖓ ᓱᓕ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᙱᑦᑐᖅ −$140-ᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓪᓗᒍ. ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ −$60. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ, ᐃᖕᒋᓕᒃᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᒪᓕᓪᓗᒍ
ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐃᓚᓯᔪᖅ, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᒃᑐᐊᓂᖅ +1-ᒧᑦ ᑎᑭᑦᑎᓗᒍ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑕᖓᓂᒃ ᖁᓚᐃᓐᓇᙱᓪᓗᓂ. +1-ᒥ ᓄᑖᖅ ᐊᒃᑐᐊᓂᖅ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖏᓪᓗ ᐱᒋᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖏᓐᓂ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᓗᑎᑦ, ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ +1 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᑦ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᑦ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᑎᑦᓯᓂᐊᙱᑉᐸᑦ; ᑕᐃᒪᐃᑉᐸᑦ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑕᑎᑦ ᐅᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᓗᒍ +1-ᒥ ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᒥ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓂᕐᒧᑦ. ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑭᓗᑎᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂ ᐅᓐᓂ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕗᖅ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᑦ; ᐅᐊᕐᔪᖕᓂᖅ ᐱᓪᓗᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᕐᓂᖅ ᒥᑭᔪᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂ ᐃᑳᕐᕕᒃᓯᒪᔪᒥᑦ ᓄᐃᓂᕐᒧᑦ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 1–30
ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ. ᐊᑯᓂᓛᖅ ᐃᓚᕙᓐ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓕᒃ: ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ (−$30, $10-ᒥ), ᐊᔪ (−$20, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $20-ᒧᑦ), ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ (−$60), ᐊᔪ (−$40, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $30-ᒧᑦ), ᐊᔪ (−$10; $40-ᒧᑦ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᖃᖏᖅᓯᓗᐊᕐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $20), ᐊᓯ (−$30), ᐊᔪ (−$10), ᐊᔪ: ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ +$10-ᒥ, ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ. 30 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$40. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ $30-ᒥᑦ ᐊᖏᓂᖅᓴᐅᓚᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ. ᑖᔅᓱᒪᓂ ᓇᑦᑎᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᖁᕕᐊᓇᓐᖏᓛᖅ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇᓗ ᓇᕐᓂᓯᓂᐅᔪᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 31–71
ᐊᑯᓂᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ. ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᓂ ᖁᓕᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ −$50 ᐃᑳᕐᕕᒃᓯᔪᑦ. ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᒃ $20, $30, $40, $50-ᒧᑦ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ; ᑕᒪᒃᑯᓇᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᐃᑎᓂᖅᓴᒧᑦ ᐃᑳᕐᕕᒃᓯᔪᑦ, −$230-ᒧᑦ 52-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ. ᑕᐃᑲᓂᑦ ᐱᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᖅ, ᐃᓚᕙᓐ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᓯᒃᔅᑏᓐ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂ $40–$50 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᓐᓂ, ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᐊᑲᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ 71-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ +$10-ᒥᒃ. ᕗᐊᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ, ᐱᐅᙱᓛᒥ $230 ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎ ᐱᔭᐅᔪᖅ.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$1,000
- p75 +$710
- p90 +$880
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 72–100
ᐊᓯᖏᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᖃᐃᖁᔨᔭᐅᔪᖅ 100-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ −$140-ᒥ $30-ᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖓᓂ −$60: ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ +$10-ᒥ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᙱᑦᑐᖅ −$140-ᒥ (ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᔅᑲᕐ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᒐᔪᒃᑕᖓ, ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᒐᔪᒻᒪᑕ).
ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᖏᑦ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ $22 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ $2,200 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᖅ $1,000. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $59; ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ −$60. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᑎᑭᑦᑐᖅ, ᐊᔅᑲᕐ ᒍᕋᐃᓐᑦ ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᓂᑦ ᐱᒐᔪᓐᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖓᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᑕ ᐊᕙᓗᐊᓂ ᖃᓄᖅ ᓯᐊᒻᒪᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᐊᖏᔪᖅ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒥᑭᒻᒪᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑎᓪᓗᑕ ᐅᓐᓂ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕗᖅ, ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔭᖓ
ᐊᔅᑲᕐ ᒍᕋᐃᓐᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᓴᓇᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᑐᑭᓯᓯᒪᔪᒧᑦ. ᐃᖕᒋᓕᒃᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᖏᓗᐊᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᒥᑭᔪᓂᒡᓗ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᑯᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᓴᖅᑭᑎᑦᓯᓪᓗᓂ. ᐊᑭᖓ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᖅ: ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᕘᑎ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᐳᑦ, ᐃᓱᐊᓂᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᐊᓐᑎᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᖏᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᕐᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᕐᓂᖏᑦᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᖁᓛᓪᓚᕆᖓᓂᑦ ᑭᖑᓂᐊᓂ ᐊᑖᓪᓚᕆᖓᓄᑦ ᐊᑦᑎᕐᓂᖏᑦ. ᐊᖏᓛᖅ ᒥᑭᓕᕐᓂᖅ ᑕᐃᒪᐃᓐᓂᖅ ᐊᖏᓛᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓂᐅᕕᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ. ᑖᓚ ᐊᑐᓂ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ 2.70%, ᐅᐊᕐᔪᖕᓂᕐᓗ ᑖᓚᓂᒃ ᐃᓚᒋᐊᖅᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᖁᓚᐅᑎᓄᑦ (craps) ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ ᐊᓚᓐ ᐅᐃᓪᓴᓐ (Allan Wilson) ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᓚᐅᖅᑕᖓ The Casino Gambler’s Guide-ᒥ (1965). ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐊᑎᖓᓂᑦ ᐃᑦᑐᕐᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ.
ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᓴᖅᑭᔮᖓ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᖃᓂᒡᓕᑦᑐᓂᐊᕐᓂᖓᓂᒃ. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐅᔪᖅ. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖅ ᒥᑭᔪᖅ ᐱᐅᔪᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᒧᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᒪᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᕐᓂᒥᒃ ᐱᔪᒪᒍᕕᑦ, ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᐊᖏᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᕈᓐᓇᕐᓂᒥᒃ ᐱᔪᒪᒍᕕᑦ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᑎᓐᓄᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᔅᓯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐃᓱᒪᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒃᓴᕐᓂᕐᓄᑦ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᓄᖅᑲᕐᕕᒃᓴᐅᑉ ᒪᓕᒐᖓᓂᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ ᐃᓕᖓᓂᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑎᑦᓯᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
2.70% ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐅᐊᕐᔪᓛᖅ ᐱᓯᐅᑎ. ᐱᑦᓯᐊᓛᖑᓪᓗᓂᓗ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.