ᐊᖏᔪᑦ / ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ
1–18 (ᒥᑭᔪᑦ, ᒪᖕᒃ) ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 19–36 (ᐊᖏᔪᑦ, ᐸᔅ).
ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1, ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 48.65%.
ᐃᓕᔭᐅᕝᕕᖓ
“1–18” “19–36”-ᓗ ᐃᓂᖏᒃ ᓯᓚᑖᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᐊᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ. ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᒃ ᒪᖕᒃ (manque, “ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ”: ᐊᖅᓴᖅᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐊᖅᓴᖅᒥᑭᔪᖅ ᐊᖅᓴᖅ ᐊᖁᑎᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᖅᑐᑉ ᐊᑉᐱᖓᓄᑦ ᐃᒋᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᒫᓐᓇᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᖅᓵᑦ ᐃᕗᕆᓐ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᑎᕙᓚᓐ, 18–21 mm.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 18-ᒥᒃ ᖃᖏᖅᓯᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ) ᐸᔅ-ᓗ (passe, “ᖃᖏᖅᓯᔪᖅ”: ᖃᖏᖅᓯᔪᖅ). ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᒥᑭᓛᖓᓂᒃ ᑎᑭᐅᑎᖃᖁᔨᔭᐅᔪᒃ.
1–18 19–36-ᓗ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ: ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓗ
ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒥᒃᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᒥᒃᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᒥᒡᓗ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ: ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ 1.056, 1-ᒧᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ 1-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ 2.70%, ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 1.35% ᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᒪᓕᒐᖅᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖓ: ᓯᕉ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ ᕿᑎᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᑕᐃᒃᑯᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᒋᐊᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, 1.35%-ᒧᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᑐᖅᐸᑦ.
ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ
ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᒥᑭᔪᓪᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᓯᓈᖓᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᖃᑦᑕᖅᑐᑦ ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒐᓗᐊᖅᑐᒃᑯᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐅᓇ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᑦ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᑦᑐᓂᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒋᙱᑦᑐᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓗᓕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᑎᑕᐅᓂᖅ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ. ᓯᕉᒥᑦᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑐᓪᓕᖅᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᑕᑯᓗᒋᑦ: 32 (ᐊᖏᔪᖅ), 15 (ᒥᑭᔪᖅ), 19 (ᐊᖏᔪᖅ), 4 (ᒥᑭᔪᖅ), 21 (ᐊᖏᔪᖅ), 2 (ᒥᑭᔪᖅ) ᐊᓯᖏᓪᓗ.
ᕉᓚᑦᒥ 19–36 ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓂ
$10-ᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ, 19–36-ᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 18-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ (+$180), ᖁᓕᓄᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓄᓪᓗ ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᔪᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ (−$180) ᓯᕉᒧᓪᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᓂ (−$10): −$10 $370 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᓂᑦ. ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᒃ ᓯᕉᓕᒻᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᓯᕉᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ $20 ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᒃ $380-ᓂᑦ, 5.26%. ᓯᕉ 1-ᒥᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᒥᑭᔪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ: ᐃᓂ 1–18 ᐅᖃᖅᑐᖅ.
ᑲᑎᑦᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ
ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᓪᓗ ᑕᓴᓐᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑕᓴᓐ1–12, 13–24 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 25–36, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 2:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 25–36-ᒥ ᖁᓕᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᓗ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᓐᓂ ᐊᑐᖅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ, ᑕᐃᒪ 19–36-ᒧᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ ᖁᓛᓃᑦᑐᖅ ᑕᓴᓐ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ. ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓪᓗ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓕᓐᓂ ᐱᖓᓱᓐᓂ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᓐᓂ ᐊᑐᖅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ. ᑕᒪᒃᑯᐊ ᑲᑎᑦᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᓂᒃᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖅᓴᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᓐᓂᖓ. ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ −1/37 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᓯᑦᑐᕆᙱᑦᑐᑦ; ᐃᓚᖏᑦ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ 2.70%.
ᓇᑉᐸᖏᓐᓂ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᓱᓇ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᐸ
ᓇᑉᐸᖓ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒡᓗ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓂᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒡᓗ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒡᓗ ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᓂᒃ. ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 12, 14, 16 18-ᓗ ᒥᑭᔪᓂ ᓇᑉᐸᖓᓂ, 19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 30, 32, 34 36-ᓗ ᐊᖏᔪᓂ ᓇᑉᐸᖓᓂ. ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᖅ ᑕᓴᓐ ᒪᕐᕉᖓᑕᓗ ᓇᑉᐸᖓ; ᐊᖏᔪᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᖓᑕ ᐊᓯᐊ ᓇᑉᐸᖓ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᓗ. ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 1–18-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᑦᑐᕐᓂᖏᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ: ᑕᓴᓐ 2, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂ ᖁᓕᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂᓗ, ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓐᓂ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᓂ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᓂ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 5:1. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓯᓴᓐ (sixain).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 5, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓐᓂ, ᑕᒪᕐᒥᓪᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ 2.70%-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᑦ.
ᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖏᑦ
ᓚ ᐸᕐᑕᔾ ᐊᑐᖅᐸᑦ, ᓯᕉ ᓴᖅᑭᑉᐸᑦ ᒪᖕᒃ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐸᔅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉ ᓇᑉᐸᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, ᐊᑭᖓᓗ 1.35%-ᒧᑦ ᒥᑭᓪᓕᓪᓗᓂ. ᐊᓐ ᐳᕆᓴᓐᒪᓕᒐᖅᐊᓐ ᐳᕆᓴᓐᕖᓇᓯ ᒪᓕᒐᖓ: ᓯᕉ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑕᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᑎᒍᒥᐊᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ. ᑕᐃᒃᑯᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᓐᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᕿᑎᐊᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᒋᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᑐᖅᐸᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᑎᒍᔭᐅᔪᖅ: ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖃᙱᓪᓗᓂ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑉᐸᑦ ᐱᔭᐅᔪᖅ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐊᖅᓴᖅ ᑎᑭᑦᑐᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ, 18-ᒥᒃ “ᖃᖏᖅᓯᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ”. ᐸᔅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᖏᖅᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐋᒃᑲ. ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ 18/37 ᓇᑉᐸᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᑭᓇᒧᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
1–18 ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 19–36. ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ, ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.