ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᓂᖅ: ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ
ᖁᓕᑦ ᑖᓚ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᓪᓗᒍ, $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ. ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ, ᐃᓚᓗᒍ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᔪᖅ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ.
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ, $1,000 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ. ᕗᐊᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖓᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᖏᖅᑕᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ $220 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᓂ, +$410 ᐱᑕᖃᓚᐅᖅᓗᓂ; ᑕᒪᓐᓇ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐱᒐᔪᒃᑕᖓ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ
$10 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᓗᒍ. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᓗᒍ. ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ $10-ᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᑭᒡᓕᖓᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᑭᒡᓕᖓᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒥᑭᓛᖅ ᐊᖏᓛᕐᓗ ᐊᖏᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ. ᐊᖏᓛᖅ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᓄᖅᑲᖅᑎᑦᑕᖏᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $500, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320, ᑕᐃᒪ $640 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᐅᑉ ᐊᖏᓂᐊᙱᑕᖓ. ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᓱᕋᑦᑎᔪᑦ; ᐆᒃᑐᕈᓯᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ (19/37)⁶ ≈ 1.8% ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖃᖅᐳᖅ, 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ 50 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᐆᒃᑐᕈᓯᓂᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᐳᖅ. ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ: 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ ᐃᓗᐊᓂ ᓱᕋᑦᑎᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ 60% ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᓱᕋᑦᑎᒃᐸᑦ $630 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 1–30
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᑐᖅ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᖓᓂ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᕐᓂᖓ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᙱᓐᓂᖓᓗ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ, ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$10 ᐱᑎᑦᓯᔪᒧᑦ. 30-ᖓᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ 17 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᐳᑦ, ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᔪᑦ, $170-ᓗ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᖅᓯᒪᔪᒍᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᖏᓛᖅ ᒫᓐᓇᒧᑦ $80, ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ. $10 ᑮᓇᐅᔭᓕᐅᕈᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 31–60
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᑦ ᐊᒃᑲᓂ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᑕᒪᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᓕᒻᒥᒃ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖃᖅᓗᓂ (ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ $160-ᒧᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ), ᐅᐊᑦᓯᐊᕈᓗᒃ $310 ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐃᓕᔪᖅ ᐊᖁᓇᐃᓐᓂᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᓪᓗᓂ. 60 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ: 41 ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ, +$410, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᔅᓯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐃᓱᒪᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒥᑭᓛᖓᑦ 30-ᖓᓂᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥᑦ $1,040. ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᐸᖓᓂ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᓇᑎᑐᑦ ᑕᑯᓐᓇᖅᐳᑦ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 61–66
ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ ᐊᓯ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320: $630 ᐊᓯᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑐᓪᓕᐊ $640 ᐱᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ; ᑭᒡᓕᖓ $500. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᓱᕋᒃᑐᖅ. $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᕗᑦ (ᐊᔪᒐᒃᐸᑦ, ᐊᑲᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᓱᓕ $130 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖃᖅᑐᒍᑦ) ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ $10-ᒧᑦ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑭᓪᓗᑕ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᖏᓪᓗᒍ. ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ 1.8% ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖃᖅᐳᑦᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →. 45 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᐃᑦ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ. 45 ᐊᑲᐅᓯᓂ ᓇᐅᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐅᕗᖓ ᑎᑭᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ 55% ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ. ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$1,000
- p75 +$790
- p90 +$1,690
ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᖏᑦ
60 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ +$410, 66 ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ $220 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᓪᓗᑕ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ: $2,100 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ 66 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ $10 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑎ $660. $2,100 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᐊᔪᒐᐅᑎᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᖃᑦᑕᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᐃᓚᓗᒋᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᕼᐋᓐᑐᓪ, ᐋᒃᓴᓐ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $57; ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ −$220 ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐅᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᑕᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓯᑭᐊᖅᑐᓂᖓ (√); ᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐅᖓᓯᑦᑎᒋᓂᖓ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᖓᔪᐊᖓᓂᒃ ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᐊᑖᓃᑦᑐᖅ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇ ᐊᔾᔨᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᓴᐅᒥᐊᓂ ᑕᑭᔪᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᐊᖃᖅᑐᓄᑦ. 60-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᓄᖅᑲᓚᐅᕈᑦᑕ $400 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᑭᒡᓕᖃᖅᓗᑕᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᑭᒡᓕᖅᓯᕗᓂᖓᓂ ᐋᖅᑭᒃᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᑐᕌᒐᖓ, ᑎᑭᐅᑎᒍᕕᐅᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᓄᖅᑲᖅᑎᑦᑕᐃᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, +$410 ᐱᑕᖃᖅᓗᑕ ᐊᓂᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᒍᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓗ ᑐᓪᓕᐊ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ 1.8% ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᑕᖃᕐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔭᖓ
ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ 48.65% ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᔪᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖏᑕ 98%-ᖏᓐᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᖏᓐᓂᓗ 2%-ᖏᓐᓂ 63 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑏᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᒧᑦ. ᑖᓚ ᐊᑐᓂ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᑖᓚᓂᒃ ᐊᒥᓲᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᓴᓂᑦᑎᓐᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑎ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᖓᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᓪᓗ ᐱᖓᔪᐊᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᓂ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ ᑕᒪᑐᒥᖓ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᕐᕌᒍᒥ ᐊᑐᖅᑐᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᓂ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᐸᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᕐᕌᒍᒥᒡᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐊᖅᓗᓂ.
ᖃᔅᓯᓪᓗᐊᖅᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᓴᖅᑭᕙᑦᑐᑦ
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉᓕᖕᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᕙᑦᑐᖅ 19 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓂ 37-ᓂ. ᑐᑭᓕᐊᑕᒫᑦ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ, ᐊᒻᒪ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑐᐊᕋᒥ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᔪᑉ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᓂᖓ ᑕᐃᑲᓂ.
| ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ | ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ | ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ 1 / | ᒫᓐᓇᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᔪᑦ | ᑐᓪᓕᐊ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $1,023 | $1,024 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $2,047 | $2,048 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $4,095 | $4,096 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $8,191 | $8,192 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $16,383 | $16,384 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $32,767 | $32,768 |
ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᓐᓇ 19/37 ᐃᒻᒥᓂᒃ ᐊᒥᓱᕆᐊᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᑕᒫᑦ, ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᑦ ᓈᓴᐃᓪᓗᓂ. ᐊᑯᓂᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᒥᓱᓂᒃ ᑕᒪᒃᑯᓂᖓ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐱᒋᐊᕐᕕᒋᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᖏᓐᓂᒃ, ᑕᐃᒪᓐᓇ ᐅᓐᓄᒃᑯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓗᓂ ᑕᐃᒪᐃᓐᓂᖓ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓴᐅᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ ᑐᑭᓕᐊᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔭᖓᓂᑦ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᓱᕋᑦᑎᔪᑦ, ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᑦ ᐅᓐᓂ: 0.25% ᐊᑲᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ, ᐱᒃᐸᑦ $5,110 ᐊᓯᐅᔪᑦ. ᐃᖕᒋᓕᒃ ᖃᑦᑕᓗᐊᙱᓂᖅᓴᖅ, ᖁᑦᑎᓂᖅᓴᖅ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ −2.70%.
48.65%-ᒥ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᑲᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᓱᓕ −$130-ᒥ ᐃᓂᖃᕐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᓗᓂ. ᓱᕋᒃᑐᖅ ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐱᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᓇᓱᐊᕐᓂᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᖅᑕᐃᑦ ᐅᓐᓂ.
ᐄ, ᑕᒪᑐᒪᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᕐᒥ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᓐᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᐅᓐᓂ.
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᖅ
ᓯᕗᓪᓕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐃᓕᖕᓂᒃ ᐆᒃᑐᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖏᑦ ᒪᑐᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ; ᐅᐸᒍᓐᓇᕈᕕᑦ ᒪᑐᐃᖅᓯᓗᒍ.
$1-ᒥᑦ $500-ᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ, ᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒫᑎᓐᒐᐃᓪᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᑐᖅ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᖓᓂ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᕐᓂᖓ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᙱᓐᓂᖓᓗ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ $1-ᒥᒃ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᒋᐊᖅᓯᔪᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ. ᖃᑦᓯᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᓄᖅᑲᖅᑎᑦᓯᕙᑦ, ᖃᓄᑎᒋ ᐊᓯᐅᔭᐅᓯᒪᕙ ᑕᐃᑦᓱᒪ, ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᒥᓱᐃᕐᓗᓂᓗ ᐱᕙᒃᐸ?
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᖁᓕᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ: $511 ᐊᓯᐅᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂᓗ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ $512-ᐅᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ. 403 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃ ᐱᕙᒃᑐᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128 ᐊᒻᒪ 256: ᑲᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ $511. ᖁᓕᖓ $512-ᐅᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ, ᑭᒡᓕᖓᑕ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᑦ. $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᒥᒃ $11-ᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᑎᑦᓯᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ; ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ $1,011-ᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓯᒪᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᖅ 19/37 ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᖁᓕᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᑦ (19/37)⁹ ≈ 0.25% ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖃᖅᑐᑦ, 403 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃ. ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᑕᒪᒃᑭᑦ $1-ᒥᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ $402 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᒥᑭᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᓂᒃ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ $511 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᓯᕗᓂᐊᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ 2.70%-ᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᑕᐅᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ.
ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓯᕉ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅ (20/38)⁹, 323 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃ. ᐳᓪᒪᓐ (Bollman, 2021) “833-ᓂ 1 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ” ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᖅ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇ (18/38)⁹, ᖁᓕᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑲᑕᐅᔪᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᕗᐊᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᒥᑭᔪᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᐊᖏᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ. ᑕᒪᓐᓇ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.”