ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖓ ᐊᑭᖓᓗ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᑎᒋᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᕐᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ ᐊᖏᓂᖓᓂ, ᐃᑲᕐᕋᐃᓪᓗ ᖃᓄᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᑭᖃᕐᒪᖔᑕ. ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᔪᑦ ᓈᓴᖅᐸᙱᑕᖏᑦ, ᐊᒥᓲᔪᓪᓗ ᓈᓴᕆᐊᖃᖅᑕᖏᑦ.
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓄᑦ ᐊᑐᓂ, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖏᑦ ᑕᒪᑐᒥᖓ ᓯᕗᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ; ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ = ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ × ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ / 37. ᑕᒪᒃ ᐃᓚᒌᒃᑐᒃ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᐊᑭᖃᕐᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑦ ᐱᒋᐊᓐᓇᓂ ᓈᓴᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᒃ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᑎᒋᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᕐᒪᖔᑕ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᔅᓯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐃᓱᒪᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → B-ᐅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒡᓗ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ s-ᐅᑎᓪᓗᒍ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ s/37-ᒥᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᑦᑎᓕᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᔪᑦ, ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐊᖅᑐᓪᓗ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ s-ᒥᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᑖᓄᑦ. ᐊᑦᑎᓕᕐᓂᖓ ᑐᐊᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᔪᖅ: ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ 37 × B/s ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᑎᒋᒻᒪᑦ B ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐊᖅᑎᓪᓗᒍ s/37-ᒥᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐊᕐᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐃᓚᖏᑦ ᓱᒃᑲᐃᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᑦ ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᖃᖅᐸᑦ, ᐊᒥᓲᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓗᐊᖅᑐᑦ, ᖃᑎᒃᑐᓗ (median), ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖏᑦ ᑎᑭᑦᑎᓐᓇᙱᑕᖓ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᐊᑉ ᐊᑖᓃᑦᑐᖅ. $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ $10-ᒥᒃ (B/s = 50) ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 1,850 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ, ᖃᑎᒃᑐᒥ 1,364, ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ 27 ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑦ ᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ. $50-ᒥᒃ (B/s = 10) ᖃᑎᒃᑐᖅ 136 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ, ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑦ ᐊᑖᓃᑦᑐᑦ.
ᐃᑲᕐᕋᐃᑦ ᖃᓄᖅ ᐊᑭᖃᕐᒪᖔᑕ
ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → = ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ × ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ / 37. ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᑏᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᓱᒃᑲᐃᓐᓂᖓᓗ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ $10-ᒥᒃ 50 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ $13.51-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓖᔪᖅ ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ, $6.76 ᕖᓇᓯ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ, $27 ᓱᒃᑲᐃᑦᑐᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ. ᕉᓚᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᖃᓄᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᑭᖃᕐᒪᖔᑦ ᐃᓕᖕᓄᑦ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᕐᓗᒍ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓗ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᑐᓪᓕᐅᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓚᒌᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ $500-ᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᓯᑕᒪᓂᒃ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᓂᒃ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᒪᔪᖅ 50 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᓕᒃ ᑕᑯᔭᐅᔪᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ (200 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ), ᐃᓘᓐᓇᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᔪᒪᙱᑦᑐᖅ, $25 ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂᒃ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᐊᙱᑦᑐᖅ (B/s = 20, ᐃᓘᓐᓇᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᖃᑎᒃᑐᖅ 394 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ). ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ 200 × $25 / 37 = $135. $135 ᐊᖏᓗᐊᖅᐸᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᒥᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ, ᐅᓐᓄᐊᕐᓗ ᐊᑦᑕᓇᙱᓂᖅᓴᐅᓕᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑭᑭᓐᓂᖅᓴᐅᓕᖅᑐᓗ ᐃᓚᒌᒃᑐᒃ: $10-ᒥᒃ, ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ $54, ᐃᓘᓐᓇᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ 200 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᓯᕗᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᒪᐃᓐᓂᖅᐸᒃᑐᖅ.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$500
- p75 −$50
- p90 +$350
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 35:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᒋᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᑎᒋᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓄᑦ: ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒧᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → σ 5.84, ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᓕᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ 1, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᐊᑯᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᙱᑦᑎᓪᓗᑎᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᑦ. 200 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᖃᑎᒃᑐᒥ, B/s ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ 13 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒥ, ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓗ 56 ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒥ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ, ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ ᓯᑕᒪᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ. $500 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ 200 ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᖃᑎᒃᑐᒥ ᐱᑕᖃᕐᓂᐊᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ $9 ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ $500-ᓂᑦ $25-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑐᑦ ᓇᐃᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᓂᐱᑐᔪᒥᒡᓗ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᕐᒥᒃ ᓂᐅᕕᖅᑐᑦ: ᐊᔪᒐᙱᓐᓃᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᖁᓕᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᔪᑦ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇᓗ ᐃᒪᐃᙱᓐᓂᕐᒥᑦ ᐊᑲᐅᓂᖅᓴᒥᒃ ᐃᒪᐃᓐᓂᖅᐸᒃᑐᖅ.
ᓱᓕᔪᑦ ᐊᑭᖏᑦ
ᕉᓚᑦ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ × ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ / 37. ᐊᓯᖏᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᑎᒃ, ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ, ᐊᔪᒐᕈᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓴᐅᔮᖅᑐᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑎ, ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓗᐊᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᓴᐳᔾᔨᓂᖅ, ᐅᓐᓄᐊᐅᑉ ᐱᐅᓯᖓᓂᒃ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᖅᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᖓᓂᒃ ᐃᒪᐃᙱᑦᑐᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎ ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᒥ ᐊᑭᖓᓂᒃ ᓈᓴᐃᔪᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒡᓗ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᕈᒪᔭᒥᓂᒃ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᖅᑐᖅ, ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᑐᐊᒐᓚᒃᑐᑐᐊᒥᒃ ᐱᓕᕆᓯᒪᔪᖅ.
ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓕᐅᕈᑎ
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᒥᑭᑉᐸᑕ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐊᕐᓂᖏᑦ ᓴᙱᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᑦ, ᖃᑎᒃᑐᓗ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ (B/s)²-ᑐᑦ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ, ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᒥᑐᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᕐᒥ ᒥᖕᒋᕆᐊᖅᑎᑦᑕᐅᔪᒥ. ᐊᖏᑉᐸᑕ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ ᓴᙱᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᖅ, ᖃᑎᒃᑐᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᖃᓂᓕᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ, 37 × B/s. ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ 20 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ ᐃᒪᐃᑦᑎᓪᓗᒍ (B/s)² ᒪᓕᒐᖅ ᓱᓕᔪᒥᒃ ᖃᑎᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᖃᖅᑐᖅ, 394 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ; ᑕᐃᑯᓇ ᐊᑖᓂ ᓇᐃᓗᐊᖅᑐᖅ, ᐅᖓᑖᓂᓗ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓗᐊᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐱᐅᙱᓛᖅ ᑭᒡᓕᖃᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓗ ᓇᐃᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᓪᓗᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᒥᑭᓕᖅᑐᖅ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖏᑎᑐᑦ.
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓂᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ/ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ/ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐊᖏᔪᑦ/ᒥᑭᔪᑦ. 18 ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 1:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᖓ ᓇᑉᐸᖓᓄᑦ ᒥᑭᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᐃᓘᓐᓇᐃᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᕕᖓ ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ, 74 × B/s ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ.
ᓈᓴᐃᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᖅ
ᓯᕗᓪᓕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐃᓕᖕᓂᒃ ᐆᒃᑐᕐᓗᑎᑦ. ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑏᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖏᑦ ᒪᑐᔭᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ; ᐅᐸᒍᓐᓇᕈᕕᑦ ᒪᑐᐃᖅᓯᓗᒍ.
$500 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᑎᑦ, $10 ᐊᑕᐅᑦᑎᒃᑯᑦ, ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ, ᓄᖅᑲᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᒪᓕᒐᖃᙱᑦᑐᑎᑦ. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᖃᔅᓯᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᓐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔭᐅᔪᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᓂᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᓯᓂᖅ ᑐᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᖃᔅᓯᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᓯᐅᔪᓐᓇᖅᑕᐅᓂᐊᕐᒪᖔᑕ ᐃᓱᒪᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᓴᐱᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᓐᓇᖅᐸᑦ?
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ ᑕᑯᓗᒍ
ᑭᐅᔾᔪᑎ 1,850 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ: 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 50 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᑕᒪᒃᑭᓄᑦ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓇ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ 1/37-ᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ: $10/37, ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓ 27 ᓰᓐᑦ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ 50 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᑦ, 50-ᓪᓗ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖏᑦ 1/37-ᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᑕᒪᑐᒪᓂ ᐱᔭᕆᐊᖃᖅᑐᑦ 50 × 37 = 1,850 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᓐᓂᒃ.
ᐊᓯᑦᑐᐃᓂᖏᑦ ᑕᒪᓐᓇ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᙱᑦᑐᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ ᓄᖅᑲᕈᓐᓇᕐᒪᑦ ᓯᕉᒥ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ, ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᓗ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓇ ᑕᐃᑉᓱᒪ ᓯᕗᓂᐊᒍᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 27 ᓰᓐᑦ ᐊᑭᖃᖅᑐᖅ. ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᖃᑉᐱᐊᓐᓂᖏᑦ ᐱᔭᕇᖅᑐᑦ 1,364 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖓᓄᑦ, ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᖁᓖᒃ ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂᓗ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ 5,000 ᖄᖏᖅᑐᖅ, ᑕᒪᓐᓇᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᖁᕝᕙᖅᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐃᑉᔅᑕᐃᓐ (Epstein, 2013) ᒪᓕᒐᕐᒥᒃ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓄᑦ ᑐᓂᓯᔪᖅ: ᑳᓯᓄ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖃᐃᕈᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒃᓴᐃᑦ z ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖃᖅᑐᑦ z ᐊᕕᒃᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ. ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ 1/19-ᒥᒃ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ, ᐊᔾᔨᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ $500 ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ 950 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᓐᓂ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ × ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ / 37. ᐅᓐᓄᐊᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐱᒋᐊᓐᓇᓂ ᓈᓴᕐᓗᒍ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.