ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᓂᖅ: ᑕᓚᒻᐱᐅᕐ ᐅᓐᓄᓴᒃᑯᑦ
ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ, ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᒥᑭᓕᖅᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ, ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᕼᐊᓐᑐᕆᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᑦ. ᐊᓕᐊᓇᐃᓛᖅ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ, ᐊᓕᐊᓇᐃᓐᓂᐅᓪᓗ ᐊᑭᖓ.
ᐊᔾᔨᐅᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᑕᓚᒻᐱᐅᕐ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ, 100 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ, $5 ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎ ᐊᑐᓂ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ $5-ᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑐᖅ ᑕᓪᓕᒪᐃᖅᓱᓂ, ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᒥ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᒥ $80-ᒧᑦ ᖁᕝᕙᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ, ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ $55-ᒥ, ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓ $40 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓪᓗᓂ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᓯᒪᔪᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᓯᒪᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᒪᓕᓪᓗᒍ
ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᖁᒻᒧᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᕗᒧᐊᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖏᑦ ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖏᓪᓗ ᐱᒋᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖏᓐᓂ.
ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ
ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᑐᙵᕕᒋᔭᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᑕᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᓇᓕᐊᓂᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒋᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᒋᐊᕐᓗᑎᑦ, $5, ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᒧᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᕈᔾ (rouge).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐃᓚᒋᐊᖅᓯᓗᑎᑦ; ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐲᖅᓯᓗᑎᑦ, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᑦ ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᐅᓐᖏᓪᓗᓂ. ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᑕᓚᒻᐱᐅᕐ ᐅᖃᓚᐅᙱᑕᖓ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᒋᔭᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ: ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᓪᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓕᕐᓂᐊᖅᐳᑦ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓗ ᒪᕐᕉᖕᒋᓪᓗᑎᒃ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᒃᓴᖅᐳᒍᑦ. ᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅ ᐅᖃᖅᐳᖅ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 48.65%-ᖏᓐᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓂᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᓴᐅᔪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᕘᑎ ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓪᓗ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓕᖅᑎᓪᓗᒍ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕙᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 1–30
ᕿᐅᑏᓐ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ, ᕕᕝᑏᓐ ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 18 ᕿᕐᓂᖅᑐᓄᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ. ᕖᓇᓯᑐᑦ: ᓄᐊᕐ (noir).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →. ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ $20-ᒧᑦ ᖁᕝᕙᔪᖅ, 18-ᖓᓄᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ $5-ᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑐᖅ, ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖓᓄᓪᓗ $25-ᒧᑦ ᖁᕝᕙᔪᖅ. ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$20. ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᓗ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐱᔪᑦ ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᑎᑐᑦ; ᐃᓚᒋᐊᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᓂᕿᓕᐅᕐᓗᑎᒃ. ᐊᓕᐊᓇᐃᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᑦᑎᐊᖅᑐᑎᑐᑦ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ.
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 31–65
ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᖅ. ᑕᕐᑏᓐ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ, ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᑑ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ, ᐃᓚᓕᒃ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᕐᓂᒃ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᓂᒃ. 41-ᖓᓂ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ $5-ᒥᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᖁᕝᕙᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ $80-ᒧᑦ, $75 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᕕᕝᑏᓐ ᓯᕗᓂᐊᓂ $5 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐲᖅᓯᔪᖅ. ᑕᒪᑐᒪᓂ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ −$485; ᑕᐃᑲᓃᓕᖅᑎᓪᓗᒍ −$465. ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᕐᒥ ᑕᑯᓇᕐᓂᖅᓴᖅ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ; ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕙᓪᓕᐊᓂᖓ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᐅᔪᖅ.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- ᐊᑯᓐᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖅ −$500
- p75 −$500
- p90 +$885
ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ 66–100
ᑐᐊᓐᑎ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᑦ, ᕕᕝᑏᓐ ᐊᐅᐸᓗᒃᑐᐅᙱᑦᑐᑦ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ $80-ᒥᑦ $55-ᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ, $5 ᐊᑐᓂ. ᐊᖏᔪᒥ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᓂ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ: $70 ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ $75 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ +$5 ᐱᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᖏᔪᒃ. ᑕᒪᑐᒪᓂ ᑲᑎᑦᓱᒋᑦ +$425; ᐃᓱᓕᓐᓂᖓᓂ −$40.
ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᖏᑦ
ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ $37 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᑦ $3,670 ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ, ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ $5 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᖅᑎ $500. $3,670-ᒥ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᑭᖓ ᐊᕐᓕᒃᓗᒍ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᑲᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᓂ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᕕᒃᓴᕐᒥ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → $99; ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ −$40, ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᓂᑦᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᖓᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓯᑭᐊᖅᑐᓂᖓ (√); ᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᓂᕆᐅᒋᔭᐅᔪᒥᑦ ᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐅᖓᓯᑦᑎᒋᓂᖓ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᒥᑭᓂᖅᓴᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓᑕ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕙᓪᓕᐊᓂᖓ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᔾᔪᑎᖓ: ᑮᓇᐅᔭᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᓴᐃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ, ᑖᓚ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ 2.70% ᐲᖅᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ, ᓴᖅᑭᔮᖏᓪᓗ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᓯᐊᓪᓕᓂᖅᓴᐅᓪᓗᑎᒃ.
ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖓᑕ ᑕᑯᑎᑦᓯᔭᖓ
ᑕᓚᒻᐱᐅᕐ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑎᐅᑉ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᓗᐊᖅᑕᖓ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᒪᓕᒐᖑᖅᑎᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ: ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᖃᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓃᓪᓗ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓕᕐᓂᐊᕐᒪᑕ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑐᓐᓇᖁᓪᓗᒍ. ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓂᖅᓴᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᓕᖅᐳᑦ ᐊᒥᓲᓂᖅᓴᐅᓕᕐᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ, ᐋᖅᑭᒋᐊᖅᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᐅᓐᓂ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓪᓗ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒧᑦ ᐅᑎᖅᑐᖁᔨᔪᒥᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐅᐊᕐᔪᖅᑐᖅ ᐃᖕᒋᓕᒃᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐅᐊᕐᔪᖕᓂᖓᓗ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐅᑉᐱᕆᔭᖃᕐᒪᑕ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᖃᑦᑕᓗᐊᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑦᔨᐅᑎᒥᒃ ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕗᖅ, ᒪᕐᕉᕆᐊᖅᓯᙱᓪᓗᓂ, ᑕᐃᒪ ᐊᑯᓂᐅᓗᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᖅ ᑭᒡᓕᖓᓄᑦ ᑎᑭᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ.
ᐄ, ᑭᒡᓕᖓᓗ ᐱᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᖅ ᑐᓪᓕᐊᓂ ᑭᒡᓕᖓᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᖅᑲᐃᕙᕐᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᓐᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᖅ. ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᐸᓪᓕᐊᓂᖅ ᑕᒪᐃᑦ ᑕᒪᑐᒧᖓ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᓯᔭᐅᕙᒃᑐᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᔪᖅ. ᑭᒡᓕᖅ ᖃᓄᐃᑦᑑᒐᓗᐊᖅᐸᑦ ᐱᐅᔪᖅ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᑦᑐᖅᓯᔪᖅ ᐱᑕᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᑕᓚᒻᐱᐅᕐ (Jean d’Alembert) 1754-ᒥ ᐅᖃᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᐅᑉ ᒥᓯᒃᑎᑕᐅᓂᖏᓐᓂ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓴᓂᖓ ᑐᓪᓕᖅᑐᒥᒃ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑎᒃᐸᑦ, ᐊᓯᐊ ᓴᓂᖓ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑐᓴᐅᓂᖅᓴᐅᓕᖅᑐᖅ. ᑮᓇᐅᔭᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐊᖏᖃᑎᒋᔪᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᐊᑎᖓᓂᒃ ᐊᑎᖅᑖᓚᐅᖅᑕᖏᑦ. ᑲᙳᓱᓐᓂᐊᓚᐅᖅᑐᖅ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᐊᓕᐊᓇᐃᓛᖅ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ. ᐃᖕᒋᓕᒃᑯᑦ ᐳᐊᓗᙱᑦᑐᖅ, ᐊᖏᒡᓕᕙᓪᓕᐊᔪᖅ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.”
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.