ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ
ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓄᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᑭᑉᐸᓕᒃᑐᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ.
ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8:1. ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᓈᓴᐃᓂᖅᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖅᐱᓐᓂᐅᑉ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖓ, 0-ᒥᑦ 1-ᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ 0%-ᒥᑦ 100%-ᒧᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ: 1/37 = 2.70%.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 10.81%.
ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᓱᓇᐅᕙ?
ᓯᑉᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᓯᑉᓇᓗᓇᐃᒃᑯᑎ ᐊᑭᖃᐃᓐᓇᖅᑐᖅ, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᐅᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖓ: ᓯᐊᒃ (check).ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓂᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᑲᑎᖃᑦᑕᕐᕕᖓᓐᓂ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᐆᒃᑑᑎᒋᓗᒍ 16-17-19-20. ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖓᓂ 22 ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᔪᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖕᒥ ᑲᑎᖕᓂᖃᑎᒌᒃᑐᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᑕᖃᖅᑐᑦ. ᐹᔅᑭᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐹᔅᑭᑦᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᕉᓕᒻᒥ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ: 0, 1, 2, 3 ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᑉᒥᒃ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8:1. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ, ᑲᑐᕐ ᐳᕋᒥᐊ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 0-1-2-3, ᓯᕉᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖅᓯᕉᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᔾᔪᐊᕌᔭᒃ ᐃᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᖕᓄᑦ, ᑕᓴᓐᓄᑦ ᓇᑉᐸᖅᑐᓄᓪᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐃᓚᐅᑎᙱᑕᖓ; ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᑕ ᐱᓇᓪᓗᑎᖓ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᓯᕉ, 0.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → 1-ᒧᑦ 2-ᒧᓪᓗ ᑲᑎᖃᑦᑕᕐᕕᖓᓐᓂ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ, ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᑎᑐᑦ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ 8, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᓪᓗᓂ. ᓯᑉ ᐊᕐᓗᓯᒪᓂᖓᓂ ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᒥ ᐃᓂᖃᖁᔨᔭᐅᔪᖅ; ᓯᓈᒥ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᐸᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᒃ ᓴᓂᓕᐅᑎᒌᒃᑐᒃ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 17:1.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →.
ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᕉᓚᑦᒥ ᖃᓄᐃᓪᓗᐊᑦᑎᐊᖅ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᕙ?
ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ 8.25, 1-ᒧᑦ; ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ 8-ᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ. $10 ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ $80-ᒥᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᖅ. 37 ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ: ᓯᑕᒪᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ (+$320), 33-ᕆᐊᖅᓗᒍ ᐊᓯᐅᔾᔨᓂᖅ (−$330), ᓱᓕᓪᓚᕆᒃᑐᖅ −$10.
ᐱᐅᓯᖓ
ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᒐᔪᒃᑐᖅ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖓᓃᑦᑐᖅ: ᓱᓕ ᐃᓗᐊᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐃᓗᐊᓂ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᓇᓕᐊᑐᐃᓐᓇᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖓᑕ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᑯᓐᓂᖏᓐᓄᑦ ᐃᓕᔭᐅᔪᖅ: ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒧᑦ, ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ, ᐱᖓᓱᓄᑦ, ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ, ᐱᖓᓲᔪᖅᑐᓄᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐱᒻᒪᕆᐅᔪᒥᒃ ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᓕᒃᑮᓇᐅᔭᖅᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎᐊᔪᒐᖅᑐᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᖃᔅᓯᓂᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᒻᒪᖔᑦ, “X 1-ᒧᑦ” ᐅᖃᐅᓯᐅᔪᖅ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖓ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᐃᓚᓇᒍ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ →, ᑭᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᖅ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᑦ ᑲᐃᕙᕐᓃᑦ ᖃᓂᒋᔮᓂ. ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᙳᐊᖅᑏᑦ ᐊᒥᓱᑦ “ᓈᓴᐅᑎᒐ ᖃᓂᒋᔭᖓᓂ ᐊᕕᒃᓯᒪᔪᒥᒃ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑎᑦᓯᓂᖅ” ᐱᐅᓯᖏᑦ ᑎᑭᑦᑕᕐᕕᖓ, ᐊᒻᒪᓗ ᕗᐊᓴᓐ ᑐ ᓯᐅᕉFR · ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᑉ ᐃᓚᖓᕗᐊᓴᓐ ᑐ ᓯᐅᕉ“ᓯᕉᐅᑉ ᓴᓂᐊᓃᑦᑐᖏᑦ”: ᖁᓕᑦ ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᓗ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᕐᒥ 22-ᒥᑦ 25-ᒧᑦ, ᐊᕐᕕᓂᓖᑦ ᐱᖓᓱᓂᒃ ᓯᑉᐳᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᐃᓚᖏᓐᓂ ᒪᕐᕉᖓᓂ ᐊᖏᓂᖅᐹᖑᔪᖅ, ᓯᑉᐴᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ 25-26-28-29 ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᒥ ᐃᓕᓪᓗᒋᒃ.
ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᒃ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐊᒻᒪ
$10 ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 16-17-19-20-ᒧᑦ $5 ᒪᕐᕉᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᒡᓗ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ (16-17 19-20-ᓗ) ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᓪᓗᐊᕐᓂᒃ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᑦ: ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑦᑎᒃ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᑦ, ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑦᑎᒡᓗ ᐊᔪᒐᖅᐸᑦ $80 ᐊᔪᒐᕐᓂᕐᒥᒃ ᐅᑎᖅᑎᑦᓯᔪᑦ. ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᓯᑉᒥᒃ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᐊᑐᓂᖅᓴᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ. ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖓ ᓴᖅᑭᑦᑐᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᓂᒃ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᑮᓇᐅᔭᖃᖁᒍᕕᒋᑦ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ.
ᐊᒥᐊᓕᑲ ᐅᖃᐅᓯᖅ
ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᓯᕉ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᖓᓂᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᑦᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᓕᕆᕝᕕᒃᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒻᒥ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑏᑦ ᐊᓪᓚᖏᑦ. ᐊᓯᐊᓂ ᐊᑎᖏᑦ: ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᒃ, ᐅᓗᐱᓕᒐᖅ, ᐊᓐᓄᕌᒃᓴᖅ.ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖓ ᐅᖃᓕᒫᕐᓗᒍ → ᑕᓪᓕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ 0-00-1-2-3 ᐊᔾᔨᖓᓂ ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐃᓂᖓᓂ ᐃᓂᖃᖅᑐᖅ, 6, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑭᓕᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᓈᒻᒪᒃᑐᑦ ᐱᔪᓐᓇᕐᓂᖏᑦ 6.6, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐱᓪᓗᒍ: ᑳᓯᓅᑉ ᐃᓚᖓ 7.89%, ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ ᐱᐅᙱᓛᖅ ᓇᓃᑉᐸᑦ ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᔪᒥ ᕉᓚᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕐᕕᖓᓂ. ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐹᔅᑭᑦ 8, 1-ᒧᑦ ᐊᑐᕐᓗᐊᖑᔪᖅ 2.70% ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎ.
ᐊᐱᖅᑯᑏᑦ
ᐋᒃᑲ. ᓯᑉ ᐃᓂᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᒥ ᐊᒃᑐᖁᔭᐅᔪᑦ. 1-2-4-5 ᓯᑕᒪᓄᑦ ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᔪᖅ; 1-3-4-6 ᐱᙳᐊᕈᑎᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ.
ᐃᐅᕌᐸ ᐊᒃᓴᓗᐊᖓᓂ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᒃᑐᖅ: 4, 37-ᓂᑦ, ᐊᑭᓕᐅᑎ 8, 1-ᒧᑦ.
ᐃᓪᓗᕐᓇᖅᑐᖅ ᐊᔾᔨᓕᐊᖅ
ᓈᓴᐅᑏᑦ ᓯᑕᒪᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᕐᒥ ᐃᓂᒥ. ᐊᓯᖏᑦ ᐊᑐᕈᓐᓇᙱᑦᑐᑦ.
ᐱᕝᕕᒋᔭᐅᔪᑦ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.